Јефтинија храна
Раст цена на мало је у првих осам месеци био око 4,5 одсто, али је у периоду септембар–новембар пао на 2,8 одсто захваљујући административном ограничењу трговачких маржи
TL;DR
- Serbia's economy is projected to grow around two percent in 2025, a slowdown from 3.9 percent in 2024.
- The slowdown is attributed to internal uncertainty, with a lesser impact from global trends.
- Serbia's economic growth is now below the Central and Eastern European (CEE) regional average of approximately 2.3 percent.
- Key reasons for the slower growth include declining investments, a poor agricultural season, a downturn in construction, and sanctions on the oil sector.
- Inflation fell to 2.8 percent between September and November due to administrative limits on trade margins, primarily driven by falling food prices.
- Average inflation for 2025 is expected to be below four percent, but there is a risk of future price increases once administrative measures are lifted.
- The labor market shows no significant deterioration, with a 0.5 percent drop in employment in the third quarter concentrated in the informal sector.
- Formal employment remained stable, and average real wages grew by seven percent year-on-year in the third quarter, exceeding productivity growth.
- Monetary policy maintained the interest rate at 5.75 percent, considered appropriate given uncertainties related to sanctions.
- The NBH's decision to maintain interest rates is seen as correct amidst the expressed uncertainties concerning sanctions on NIS and other risks.