economy
January 1, 2026
NEMA POVRATKA NA STARO: Zašto je 2026. godina prelomna za ceo svet?
Dok se svet još oporavlja od pandemije, inflatornih šokova i ratova koji su promenili globalnu ekonomiju, sve više uglednih ekonomista upozorava da se pravi test tek približava. Prema njihovim analizama, 2026. godina mogla bi da bude jedna od ključnih tačaka sredinom decenije, kada će se videti stvarne posledice odluka donetih prethodnih godina.
TL;DR
- Renowned economists warn that 2026 will be a key year for assessing the impact of recent economic decisions.
- Kenneth Rogoff highlights the danger of unprecedented government borrowing and high interest rates, predicting fiscal issues rather than a banking crisis.
- Nouriel Roubini points to a convergence of 'mega-threats' around 2026, including debt, geopolitical tensions, demographics, AI, and inflation.
- Joseph Stiglitz notes that while inflation is curbed, the aggressive interest rate hikes have increased inequality and strained social systems, with effects to be felt in the coming years.
- Mohamed El-Erian describes a 'new normal' with less central bank maneuverability, volatile markets, and frequent, diverse crises, with 2026 marking a divergence between resilient and weak economies.
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