economy

March 8, 2026

WORST-CASE SCENARIO: This conflict will cost Trump everything

This conflict will cost Trump everything

WORST-CASE SCENARIO: This conflict will cost Trump everything

TL;DR

  • Global consumers and companies may face prolonged higher fuel prices due to the conflict with Iran.
  • The conflict threatens the global economy and poses a political risk to President Trump.
  • Approximately one-fifth of global crude oil and natural gas supplies have been halted.
  • Tehran's attacks on ships and energy infrastructure have caused global oil prices to increase by 24%.
  • Major oil producers like Saudi Arabia, UAE, Iraq, and Kuwait have had to suspend significant oil deliveries.
  • Oil and gas storage in the Persian Gulf is filling up, leading to reduced production.
  • The situation may force further suspensions of operations if shipping cannot resume.

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