ŠTA SE DEŠAVA SA OGROMNIM REZERVAMA NAFTOM NAKON NAPADA NA VENECUELU? Ovo su mogući scenariji!

January 3, 2026

TL;DR

Nicolás Maduro has been arrested following a US military intervention in Caracas.
Venezuela possesses approximately 303 billion barrels of crude oil, about a fifth of global reserves.
The political future of Venezuela and its oil industry remains uncertain.
The socialist government under Maduro was hostile to the global oil industry, leading to infrastructure decay.
Potential outcomes include continued strict control over the oil industry or a more open approach to the international market.
US Secretary of State Marko Rubio confirmed Maduro's capture, but warnings of a power vacuum persist.
Edmundo González, in exile and supported by opposition leader María Corina Machado, is recognized by the US as the legitimate president.
Venezuela's oil production is currently around one million barrels per day, significantly reduced from previous years due to sanctions, economic crisis, and lack of investment.
Despite large reserves, Venezuela's current production levels do not give it significant influence on global oil prices.
Venezuela produces heavy, sulfurous crude oil, which requires specialized refining; US refineries are designed for this type of oil.
The potential return of American companies to Venezuela to rebuild the oil industry could be a turning point for the global oil market.

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